Pre-tourney Rankings
Boise St.
Mountain West
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#134
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#159
Pace66.0#211
Improvement-4.9#324

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#114
Improvement-5.7#340

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#167
Improvement+0.8#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2011 296   Utah W 80-59 90%     1 - 0 +9.2 +6.4 +3.8
  Nov 19, 2011 305   Cal St. Northridge W 103-61 92%     2 - 0 +28.9 +13.5 +12.1
  Nov 22, 2011 39   @ Long Beach St. L 62-72 15%     2 - 1 +3.4 -4.3 +7.6
  Nov 26, 2011 317   Northern Illinois W 71-57 94%     3 - 1 -1.3 -4.8 +4.1
  Nov 30, 2011 130   Drake W 108-64 62%     4 - 1 +43.1 +32.7 +8.7
  Dec 03, 2011 132   Indiana St. W 74-65 63%     5 - 1 +8.0 +5.4 +3.0
  Dec 05, 2011 300   Idaho St. W 79-55 91%     6 - 1 +11.7 +3.9 +9.2
  Dec 07, 2011 286   Portland W 92-70 89%     7 - 1 +11.3 +15.3 -3.5
  Dec 10, 2011 85   @ LSU L 45-64 25%     7 - 2 -9.8 -16.3 +5.4
  Dec 17, 2011 79   @ Denver L 62-79 24%     7 - 3 -7.2 -5.6 -2.4
  Dec 19, 2011 177   Fresno St. W 70-63 73%     8 - 3 +2.9 -2.7 +5.8
  Dec 22, 2011 91   @ Iowa L 72-81 27%     8 - 4 -0.2 +6.1 -6.9
  Dec 31, 2011 150   Idaho W 76-73 54%     9 - 4 +4.3 +4.6 -0.2
  Jan 02, 2012 177   @ Fresno St. L 59-72 49%     9 - 5 -10.3 +0.6 -13.6
  Jan 14, 2012 173   Air Force L 59-74 72%     9 - 6 0 - 1 -18.8 -9.3 -11.0
  Jan 17, 2012 72   @ Colorado St. L 55-66 23%     9 - 7 0 - 2 -0.8 -10.0 +7.9
  Jan 21, 2012 143   @ TCU L 52-54 39%     9 - 8 0 - 3 +3.1 -14.7 +17.5
  Jan 25, 2012 26   UNLV L 72-77 OT 29%     9 - 9 0 - 4 +3.2 -4.0 +7.7
  Jan 28, 2012 75   Wyoming L 64-75 46%     9 - 10 0 - 5 -7.7 +6.3 -15.8
  Feb 01, 2012 46   @ San Diego St. L 56-58 18%     9 - 11 0 - 6 +10.1 -7.1 +17.2
  Feb 04, 2012 14   New Mexico L 49-65 22%     9 - 12 0 - 7 -5.5 -15.9 +10.1
  Feb 11, 2012 173   @ Air Force W 72-61 47%     10 - 12 1 - 7 +14.0 +2.7 +11.5
  Feb 15, 2012 72   Colorado St. W 70-69 46%     11 - 12 2 - 7 +4.4 -3.2 +7.7
  Feb 18, 2012 143   TCU W 65-64 65%     12 - 12 3 - 7 -0.7 -2.7 +2.1
  Feb 22, 2012 26   @ UNLV L 58-75 12%     12 - 13 3 - 8 -2.0 -5.1 +2.7
  Feb 25, 2012 75   @ Wyoming L 54-64 23%     12 - 14 3 - 9 +0.1 -3.2 +1.9
  Feb 29, 2012 46   San Diego St. L 53-66 39%     12 - 15 3 - 10 -7.7 -10.3 +1.2
  Mar 03, 2012 14   @ New Mexico L 61-76 9%     12 - 16 3 - 11 +2.3 +5.4 -4.8
  Mar 08, 2012 46   San Diego St. L 62-65 27%     12 - 17 +5.7 +3.0 +2.3
Projected Record 12.0 - 17.0 3.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11 100.0% 100.0
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%